Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1936 |
MID
1 - 0
WOL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1936 |
OPA
2 - 1
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1936 |
WOL
0 - 1
MID
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1936 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1936 |
WOL
4 - 0
MID
64%
18%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1936 |
GRI
3 - 0
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1936 |
CHL
1 - 3
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1936 |
CHL
3 - 2
GRI
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1936 |
LEE
2 - 3
CHL
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1936 |
CHL
5 - 1
BBU
55%
20%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |