Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1936 |
GRI
3 - 1
MID
62%
18%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1936 |
LEE
0 - 1
MID
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1936 |
HUR
4 - 1
MID
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1936 |
MID
2 - 1
LEI
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
MID
0 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1936 |
FUL
3 - 2
CHL
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1936 |
CHL
2 - 2
EVE
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1936 |
CHL
0 - 0
FUL
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1936 |
CHL
0 - 0
BIR
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1936 |
SUN
3 - 3
CHL
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |