Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1935 |
ASV
0 - 3
MID
72%
14%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1935 |
MID
0 - 1
ARS
37%
23%
41%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
MID
0 - 2
GRI
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1935 |
ARS
8 - 0
MID
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
EVE
1 - 1
MID
70%
15%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1935 |
CHL
4 - 2
MAC
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1935 |
WOL
6 - 1
CHL
68%
17%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1935 |
LIV
6 - 0
CHL
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1935 |
CHL
4 - 2
WOL
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
CHL
1 - 1
OPA
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |