Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1933 |
OPA
2 - 0
MID
52%
22%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1933 |
MID
1 - 1
LEI
57%
19%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1933 |
LIV
1 - 3
MID
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
MID
2 - 1
BOL
49%
21%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1933 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 1
BOL
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1933 |
CHL
0 - 1
ASV
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1933 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1933 |
CHL
3 - 1
WOL
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
SHE
4 - 1
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |