Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1931 |
MUD
4 - 4
MID
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
MID
4 - 1
SHE
56%
20%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
BBU
4 - 5
MID
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
MID
2 - 2
LEI
57%
20%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1931 |
DER
1 - 2
MID
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 0
OPA
40%
25%
34%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1931 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1931 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1931 |
LEI
2 - 1
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |