Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
ASV
8 - 1
MID
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1931 |
MID
2 - 3
HUR
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1931 |
MID
5 - 1
BPO
65%
17%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
LIV
3 - 1
MID
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1931 |
MID
2 - 1
GRI
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1931 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 2
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 1
WHU
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1931 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1930 |
CHL
5 - 0
GRI
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |