Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 1
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1922 |
MID
5 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
HUR
0 - 2
MID
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
MID
2 - 2
HUR
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 1
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1922 |
CHL
3 - 2
STO
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHL
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1922 |
STO
1 - 2
CHL
29%
27%
43%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |