Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 1
MID
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
MID
2 - 4
MUD
57%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 1
MID
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1921 |
MID
3 - 1
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
MID
1 - 4
ASV
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1921 |
CHL
1 - 1
HUR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1921 |
HUR
2 - 0
CHL
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1921 |
EVE
5 - 1
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1921 |
CHL
3 - 1
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1921 |
CHL
5 - 1
ASV
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |