Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
MID
0 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
ASV
5 - 3
MID
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
MID
1 - 4
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
OLD
1 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
MID
1 - 0
OLD
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
CHL
4 - 0
PNE
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
PNE
3 - 1
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
CHL
4 - 0
BRA
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHL
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
LIV
0 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |