Middlesbrough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
EVE
2 - 3
MID
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
MID
2 - 0
WBA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1914 |
SHW
3 - 1
MID
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 3
MID
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
MID
4 - 0
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 3
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1914 |
BRA
2 - 2
CHL
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1914 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHL
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1914 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |