Middlesbrough vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
BIR
0 - 3
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
PNE
2 - 4
MID
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
MID
8 - 0
SHW
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
BOL
2 - 1
MID
35%
27%
37%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
CAR
3 - 2
MID
30%
28%
42%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
CHL
0 - 2
CUM
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
CUM
2 - 0
ASV
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1974 |
OXF
0 - 1
CUM
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
BPO
4 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
CUM
1 - 0
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |