Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 1
MID
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
MID
3 - 1
HUR
46%
22%
32%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 2
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 3
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
CAR
1 - 1
SHW
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
BOL
2 - 1
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 0
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
EVE
2 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |