Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 0
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
ARS
3 - 0
MID
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1923 |
EVE
5 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
MID
2 - 4
EVE
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 0
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
6 - 1
CHL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 1
CAR
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1923 |
NEW
3 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOT
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |