Middlesbrough vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1911 |
SHW
0 - 2
MID
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
MID
2 - 1
BBU
44%
23%
32%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
MID
2 - 3
BBU
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
MID
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 0
PNE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1911 |
BCF
2 - 2
SHW
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1911 |
BBU
2 - 0
BCF
72%
16%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 1
SHE
47%
24%
28%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
0 - 0
BCF
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |