Middlesbrough vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 0
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
MID
0 - 3
BBU
50%
22%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
MID
2 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1911 |
TOT
6 - 2
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
BCF
2 - 1
TOT
60%
20%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
NEW
5 - 1
BCF
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
BCF
2 - 1
BRI
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
SHW
1 - 0
BCF
66%
17%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 0
EVE
44%
24%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |