Middlesbrough vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
MID
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
LIV
1 - 2
MID
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
MID
3 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
MID
2 - 1
SHW
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
2 - 1
CHL
51%
22%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 1
PNE
57%
22%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 2
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
BRI
4 - 2
BCF
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |