Middlesbrough vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
PNE
1 - 1
MID
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
MID
0 - 2
BRI
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
SHW
3 - 2
MID
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 2
BCF
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
BCF
5 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
BCF
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
BCF
0 - 0
NOT
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |