Middlesbrough vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
MID
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 2
MID
24%
24%
53%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SCU
0 - 1
MID
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
YOR
1 - 2
MID
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 2
MID
33%
24%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOL
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
BUR
22%
23%
55%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 1
BUR
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 4
BUR
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 3
BUR
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |