Middlesbrough vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
MID
3 - 2
OPA
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1952 |
MUD
3 - 2
MID
70%
17%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
MID
4 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
BPO
1 - 1
MID
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
MID
1 - 0
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
ARS
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 0
WOL
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 0
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 2
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |