Middlesbrough vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
MID
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 1
MID
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
MID
3 - 1
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1950 |
MID
7 - 3
CHA
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1950 |
TOT
3 - 3
MID
55%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 0
SHW
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
ARS
0 - 1
BUR
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1950 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |