Middlesbrough vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
SHW
1 - 0
MID
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1930 |
MID
1 - 1
ARS
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
MID
1 - 1
LEE
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 2
MID
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1930 |
HUR
1 - 0
MID
52%
23%
26%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
EVE
3 - 0
BUR
54%
20%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
BUR
4 - 1
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
WHU
1 - 0
BUR
58%
19%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1930 |
BUR
1 - 3
HUR
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
BUR
4 - 0
MUD
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |