Middlesbrough vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
NEW
0 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
MID
3 - 1
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
LIV
4 - 0
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
MID
2 - 0
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 0
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
BUR
1 - 0
TOT
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
TOT
1 - 1
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |