Middlesbrough vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 1
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
5 - 3
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
MID
1 - 2
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
LIV
1 - 0
MID
59%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1919 |
MID
3 - 2
LIV
64%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
1 - 1
PNE
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
5 - 3
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
PNE
0 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
2 - 1
OLD
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |