Middlesbrough vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
MID
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
WBA
0 - 1
MID
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
STO
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
SHW
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 1
BRI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
OXF
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BBU
3 - 0
BRI
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |