Middlesbrough vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1968 |
CRY
1 - 3
MID
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
MID
2 - 2
DER
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
PNE
0 - 0
MID
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1968 |
HUR
1 - 0
MID
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
MID
3 - 2
HUR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1968 |
ASV
2 - 4
BRI
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
BRI
4 - 1
PNE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
CHA
1 - 2
BRI
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRI
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1968 |
BRI
2 - 0
PLY
57%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |