Middlesbrough vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
LEI
4 - 1
MID
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
MUD
0 - 3
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
MID
2 - 0
WHU
54%
21%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
BBU
7 - 0
MID
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
LIV
5 - 2
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 2
BBU
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 1
SHE
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
HUR
1 - 1
BIR
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 1
MUD
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |