Championship Playoff Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
IPS
2 - 2
MID
28%
28%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MID
2 - 0
MIL
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MID
2 - 1
BRI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
SHE
2 - 1
MID
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
MIL
1 - 0
ASV
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ASV
1 - 1
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
IPS
0 - 4
ASV
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
ASV
1 - 0
LEE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ASV
1 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |