Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1932 |
MID
1 - 1
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
ARS
5 - 0
MID
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
MID
1 - 0
EVE
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
SHE
2 - 1
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
MID
1 - 0
WBA
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1932 |
ASV
2 - 3
HUR
73%
15%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1932 |
BBU
2 - 0
ASV
53%
20%
27%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1932 |
ASV
5 - 0
SHE
73%
15%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
DER
3 - 1
ASV
52%
21%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |