Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
ASV
0 - 0
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
MID
0 - 0
ARS
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
ARS
2 - 1
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
ASV
0 - 0
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
LIV
0 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
ASV
0 - 0
LIV
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
NOT
0 - 1
ASV
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1923 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |