Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
MID
1 - 2
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
BRA
0 - 2
MID
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
MID
0 - 0
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
CAR
3 - 1
MID
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
MID
0 - 0
TOT
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 1
WBA
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1921 |
WBA
0 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1921 |
ASV
2 - 1
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1921 |
TOT
3 - 1
ASV
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1921 |
ASV
2 - 0
PNE
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |