Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
OLD
1 - 2
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
MID
1 - 0
OLD
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
MUD
1 - 1
MID
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
MID
1 - 1
MUD
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
SHE
5 - 1
MID
55%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
ASV
2 - 4
PNE
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
3 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRA
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
6 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |