Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
SHE
0 - 1
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
MAC
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
TOT
3 - 3
MID
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
MID
1 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEW
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 2
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
3 - 3
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1914 |
BRA
3 - 0
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1914 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |