Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
LIV
2 - 1
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
MID
3 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
4 - 1
MID
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1913 |
MID
2 - 1
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
MUD
0 - 1
MID
72%
17%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 3
TOT
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
ASV
2 - 1
LIV
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 2
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 0
PNE
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
BUR
4 - 0
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |