Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
MID
0 - 0
NEW
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1913 |
MID
1 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1913 |
SHE
1 - 0
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
3 - 0
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
MID
4 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 3
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 0
OLD
84%
10%
6%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1913 |
ASV
4 - 1
ARS
86%
9%
4%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1913 |
MUD
4 - 0
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 2
ASV
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |