Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
SHE
2 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 0
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
MID
0 - 3
BBU
50%
22%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
NEW
1 - 0
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1911 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 0
BRI
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
SHW
1 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |