Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
ASV
4 - 2
MID
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
MID
1 - 0
PNE
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
BBU
1 - 1
MID
73%
16%
12%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
ASV
4 - 1
BCF
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
ASV
4 - 2
MID
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
BRI
0 - 0
ASV
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1910 |
EVE
0 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
ASV
5 - 0
SHW
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |