Middlesbrough vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
4 - 0
MID
81%
13%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
MID
2 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
MID
4 - 1
DER
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
BRE
1 - 0
MID
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
MID
3 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 1
MAC
67%
17%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
BCF
0 - 3
ASV
38%
23%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
ASV
8 - 1
SHW
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1907 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASV
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |