Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
CHA
0 - 3
MID
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
MID
0 - 2
ASV
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
WOL
3 - 1
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 2
EVE
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
DER
1 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1949 |
ARS
4 - 2
BIR
77%
15%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1949 |
ARS
4 - 1
WBA
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |