Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
LIV
2 - 2
MID
60%
19%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1936 |
MID
6 - 0
SUN
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1936 |
BBU
2 - 2
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1936 |
MID
5 - 1
GRI
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1936 |
MAC
6 - 0
MID
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1936 |
ARS
4 - 0
WBA
68%
17%
16%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 1
BRE
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 1
BOL
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1936 |
WOL
2 - 2
ARS
52%
20%
28%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1936 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |