Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1923 |
EVE
5 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
MID
2 - 4
EVE
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 1
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
MID
0 - 2
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
ARS
3 - 1
CHL
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1923 |
CHL
0 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1923 |
ARS
2 - 0
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 1
ARS
34%
25%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |