Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 2
MID
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
BIR
4 - 3
MID
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1922 |
MID
5 - 1
HUR
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1922 |
EVE
4 - 1
MID
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 2
MID
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
39%
26%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
ARS
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |