Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
CHL
2 - 3
MID
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
MID
2 - 2
OLD
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
NEW
3 - 1
MID
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
MID
4 - 1
SHE
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
BOL
3 - 2
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 3
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
DER
4 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 1
BBU
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
SHW
2 - 0
ARS
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 0
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |