Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
TOT
2 - 1
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
MID
4 - 0
NOT
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
BCF
0 - 2
MID
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
MID
1 - 1
SHW
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
BBU
2 - 1
MID
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOL
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1912 |
ARS
3 - 1
SHE
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 2
ARS
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 2
ASV
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |