Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
SUN
3 - 1
MID
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MID
0 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
SHE
2 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
ARS
2 - 0
TOT
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
ARS
3 - 0
BRI
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
SHW
0 - 0
ARS
73%
16%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |