Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1907 |
MAC
3 - 1
MID
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
5 - 1
MID
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
0 - 0
MID
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
MID
2 - 1
SUN
42%
24%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1907 |
SHW
1 - 1
ARS
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
4 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
3 - 1
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
DER
0 - 0
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |