Middlesbrough vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LEI
1 - 0
MID
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MID
1 - 2
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MID
4 - 1
HAS
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
DER
3 - 1
MID
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
MID
4 - 2
BPO
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 2
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 0
ALD
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
2 - 0
STA
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
3 - 1
ROT
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
ALD
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |