Middelfart vs Skive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
9º
2º
12
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 43 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 37 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 35 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 29 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 27 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 26 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 26 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 21 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 18 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
87% | 26% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 74% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 1
MID
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MID
3 - 1
AAF
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MID
0 - 0
OBK
14%
19%
68%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
THI
1 - 0
MID
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MID
0 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SKI
2 - 3
BFR
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKI
1 - 0
HEL
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
AAL
0 - 3
SKI
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
SKI
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 2
SKI
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |