Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
4º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
NAS
1 - 1
MID
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 1
MID
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MID
3 - 1
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MID
2 - 0
VAN
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
IIF
0 - 2
MID
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AAF
5 - 2
AKA
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
AAF
20%
23%
56%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 3
KOL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 2
B93
46%
24%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 1
AAF
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |