Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middelfart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
THI
5 - 1
MID
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MID
2 - 3
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SKI
0 - 1
MID
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
SKI
64%
19%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MID
3 - 1
JAM
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
AAF
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AAF
4 - 1
JAM
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ODD
3 - 3
AAF
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AAF
1 - 0
ODD
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
THI
2 - 1
AAF
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |