Mictlán vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
HER
4 - 0
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COM
2 - 1
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
COA
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
TOR
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HAL
0 - 2
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
5 - 0
LEO
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 2
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
VEN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |